According to the Mid-2014 population estimates, Warwickshire’s population now stands at an estimated 551,594 people , this represents a 0.52% increase from the previous year. Whilst this rate of growth remains slightly below that experienced nationally (0.77%), at County level the growth rate has increased from 0.14% for 2012 to 2013, to 0.52% for 2013 to 2014. There is some variation around the county in terms of population change, with some area experiencing more change than others.
Rugby again experienced the highest rate of population growth, a rate higher than the national average. The borough gained 1,127 people between 2013 and 2014. This means that population growth in Rugby accounted for 39.3% of Warwickshire’s population growth as a whole.
According to the Mid-2013 estimates, North Warwickshire and Warwick district experienced falls in their population from 2012. However the new estimates show both of these areas experienced population growth for 2013-2014, with Warwick experiencing the second highest rate for population growth in the county.
Population change results from a combination of births, deaths and migration (both internal and international) flows. Whilst natural change (births minus deaths) had been the driving factor for population change in Warwickshire between 2012 and 2013, international migration has now taken over natural change as the driving factor for population change from 2013 to 2014, though natural change still remains a significant factor.
However, there is again variation around the county.
• In North Warwickshire the driving factor for population growth was internal migration.
• Nuneaton and Bedworth’s growth in population is largely due to natural change; births exceeding deaths. Internal migration outflow exceeded internal migration inflow, meaning Nuneaton and Bedworth lost more residents to other areas in the UK than it gained from other areas in the UK.
• Population change is Rugby was mainly due to natural change, though net internal migration also played a significant role.
• Internal migration accounted for the largest proportion of population change in Stratford-on-Avon. Moreover, Stratford-on-Avon was the only district again to see deaths exceed births, largely due to its older population structure.
• Warwick district was the only district where international migration was the key factor for population growth.
For a closer look at migration, birth and death numbers in your local area please click here.
The full Mid-2014 population data set is available from the ONS webpages.